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Analysis: The U.S. government may find it difficult to "reopen" in the short term, and the probability of the shutdown ending after November 16 is significantly increasing
BlockBeats News, November 6th, according to Polymarket data, the probability on the platform that the "U.S. government shutdown will end after November 16th" has sharply risen to 44%, implying that the U.S. government may have difficulty "reopening" in the short term.
Additionally, the probability of the shutdown ending from November 4th to 7th is currently at 3%, from November 8th to 11th is at 22%, and from November 12th to 15th is at 30%.
The U.S. federal government "shutdown" will enter its 37th day at 1 p.m. Beijing time today, setting a new record for the longest "shutdown" in history. The U.S. government previously experienced a 35-day "shutdown" from the end of 2018 to the beginning of 2019. The U.S. Democratic and Republican parties deadlocked, failing to pass a temporary funding bill proposed by the Republican Party in 13 votes in the U.S. Senate.
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