Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Near $90,000 with Volume Spike – A $96,000 Surge Ahead?

By: crypto insight|2026/01/04 21:30:06
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Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin is trading near $89,900 as of today, with a 2% rise in the past 24 hours, signaling a potential breakout.
  • Trading volume has surged by 120%, indicating increased market participation and potential bullish trends.
  • A symmetrical triangle formation on Bitcoin charts suggests consolidation with possible upward momentum.
  • Market sentiment remains cautious, yet the structural support remains strong due to Bitcoin’s limited supply.

WEEX Crypto News, 2026-01-04 13:20:46

Understanding the Current Bitcoin Market Situation

In a landscape where digital currency gains prominence, Bitcoin perpetually attracts attention. As of today, Bitcoin is trading near $89,900, showing an almost 2% increase in the last 24 hours. This increase in value is accompanied by a notable 120% spike in trading volume, reflecting rising interest from market participants. The market cap of Bitcoin remains solid at approximately $1.79 trillion, contributing significantly to the overall cryptocurrency market capitalization, which stands at around $3.06 trillion.

Bitcoin, renowned as the world’s leading cryptocurrency, continues to uphold its dominance in the market. The current circulating supply is just under 20 million BTC, with an eventual hard cap of 21 million. This inherent scarcity is a pivotal factor underpinning Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition. The minimal available supply compared to growing demand sets a structural ground for potential price appreciations.

The Driving Factors Behind Bitcoin’s Rise

The latest upward movement in Bitcoin’s price isn’t merely a result of speculative hype, but rather rooted in solid market dynamics involving steady accumulation and improved participation. The surge in trading volume indicates that investors are entering the market with a determined stance, rather than following short-lived trends. The Fear and Greed Index, a tool used to gauge market sentiment, remains around the “fear” zone at 34, underscoring a cautious approach by investors. Typically, increasing prices in the face of cautious sentiment can herald sustainable trends contrasting with volatile and fleeting surges.

Market dynamics also highlight Bitcoin’s leadership position, with alternative cryptocurrencies or altcoins not experiencing parallel momentum. The Altcoin Season Index, which measures the performance of altcoins against Bitcoin, stands at about 24, indicating a Bitcoin-dominated phase in the cryptocurrency market.

Analyzing Bitcoin’s Price Movement: A Technical Perspective

The Bitcoin price prediction suggests a bullish outlook as BTC trades near $89,900 on the 2-hour chart, displaying a constructive pattern. Bitcoin’s price has been compressing within a symmetrical triangle, demarcated by descending highs from the $93,500 zone and an ascending base between $85,800 and $87,000. This geometric pattern signifies equilibrium and decreasing volatility rather than vulnerability.

The overarching trend remains consistent, with Bitcoin continuing to record higher lows bolstered by an ascending trendline traced back to mid-December. The price holds above the 50-EMA and 100-EMA clustered around $88,500 to $89,000, signaling structural solidity. These averages have ceased their descent and are beginning to rise, a phenomenon often preceding significant directional shifts when integrated with solid structural endorsements.

The Role of Candlestick Patterns and RSI

Analysis of recent candlestick formations strengthens the bullish perspective. Recent retracements have resulted in small-bodied candles with minimal lower wicks, signifying that dips are being promptly bought rather than fueling significant selling pressure. There’s no manifestation of distribution patterns or vigorous bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has surged into the high-60s, transcending its previous range and indicating mounting upward pressure without yet reaching overbought extremities.

Key Levels to Watch in BTC/USD Trading

From a strategic view, a confirmed closure above the triangle’s resistance, estimated between $90,500 and $90,900, could precipitate a measured advance toward $93,500 and potentially to the $96,000 region if momentum accelerates. Conversely, if Bitcoin fails to maintain above the crucial support of $87,000, it may revisit the $85,800 zone. Looking forward, this scenario resembles a consolidation before continuation rather than exhaustion, with breaking $90,500 likely paving the way for a move targeting $95,000 and beyond.

Exploring the Maxi Doge Project: A Unique Approach to the Meme Coin Market

While Bitcoin continues to capture the market’s attention, smaller players like Maxi Doge—a meme coin—are also carving out their niche. Maxi Doge has gained traction through active presales, currently raising over $4.39 million, an impressive feat for meme coins. Distinguished from routine dog-themed tokens that rely solely on viral trends, Maxi Doge focuses on vibrant community engagement.

The project orchestrates regular Return on Investment (ROI) competitions, community challenges, and events to ensure sustained participatory interest during its presale phase. With branding influenced by its leverage-inspired mascot and fitness themes, Maxi Doge sets itself apart in the saturated meme market. The $MAXI token includes a staking feature allowing holders to earn smart-contract rewards daily, fostering long-term participation over mere speculative trading. Priced at $0.000276 currently, the $MAXI token is on the cusp of its next presale price increase. As momentum gathers, Maxi Doge stands out as a meme coin endeavoring for continuous engagement over transient hype.

Focus on Enhanced User Experience in Crypto Investments

Beyond individual projects, the broader realm of cryptocurrency investing necessitates an understanding of eco-systems like WEEX. Such platforms offer tools for navigating the complex digital currency landscape, underlining the importance of informed participation. Investors are advised to remain cautious, recognizing the inherent risks involved and performing thorough research to safeguard against potential financial losses.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What current factors are influencing Bitcoin’s price surge?

Bitcoin’s rise to nearly $90,000 is influenced by better market participation, increased trading volume, and a building momentum captured by technical patterns such as the symmetrical triangle. The cautious sentiment despite price increases provides a foundation for sustained trends.

How does the Fear and Greed Index impact Bitcoin trading?

The Fear and Greed Index reflects market sentiment, with Bitcoin currently around “fear” territory. This scenario often indicates potential for sustained upward trends, as it portrays cautious investor sentiment, which may lead to more secure, enduring price surges.

Why is Maxi Doge gaining popularity among meme coins?

Maxi Doge distinguishes itself through strategic community engagement beyond mere hype. With regular competitions, challenges, and events, it promotes long-term participation, standing out in a crowded meme token field.

What are the implications of Bitcoin’s limited supply?

With Bitcoin’s circulating supply nearing 20 million out of a total cap of 21 million, the scarcity factor supports its valuation. This structural limitation implies heightened demand against limited availability, generally reinforcing its value.

How should investors approach crypto investments as seen with WEEX?

Platforms like WEEX enhance the user experience by providing essential tools for crypto navigation. Investors are encouraged to arm themselves with knowledge, be aware of risks, and engage in comprehensive research to make informed decisions and mitigate financial losses.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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