Crypto Market from the East and West VC's First-Person Perspective: A Narration for the Sake of Narration, Utterly Boring

By: blockbeats|2025/03/15 20:15:02
0
Share
copy
Original Article Title: "Market from the First-tier Perspectives of the East and the West and Some Reflections"
Original Article Author: Lao Bai, Partner at ABCDE Research

Speaking of which, it seems like this is the longest hiatus of Twi updates. The reason is simple. As a blogger who never accepts advertisements, every time I write something, it essentially requires the drive to express oneself. However, the market in recent months has made it hard to evoke such a feeling. While the sluggish performance of the secondary market certainly plays a significant role, the feeling the primary market gives may be the main reason for this lack of expression.

Nevertheless, I have observed some phenomena recently and have some reflections, which may be somewhat lengthy. Therefore, I plan to break it down into three or four articles to publish separately, with the main topics being "Market from the VC First-tier Perspectives of the East and the West," "New Signs of RWA," and "Some Noteworthy Aspects on ETH and Solana."

Let's start with the first topic today

Over the past few weeks, I have had conversations with several Asian peers and found that everyone seems to have entered a "pause" or rather a "conservative" investment mode inadvertently.

Our most recent move was in January, and several peers have been similar, with cases of not making a move for two to three months or even longer being quite common.

As for the market's feeling, the two words "bored" may be the most apt description or a temporary "consensus."

This feeling of boredom is not entirely tied to the secondary market. I vividly remember that after the Luna crash, although the secondary market was sluggish, in the primary market, conversations about well-scalable projects, ZK, or innovative Defi, Gamfi, and AI projects still excited everyone. However, this sense of excitement has gradually diminished since entering 2025.

While the secondary market loses interest in any narrative after just a few days, it naturally has an emotional transmission effect on the primary market. But a more concerning worry is - have we entered a stage where the low-hanging fruits have been mostly picked, thus embarking on a long period of adjustment, exploration, transformation, a void period accompanied by corresponding intense pains? I will elaborate on this topic further at the end because the current status of Western VCs presents some differences from those in the East.

The trigger was a Defi project we invested in during the pre-seed round last year, which is currently raising its seed round. Initially, I thought that under the current circumstances of both primary and secondary markets, being able to complete the fundraising would be quite satisfactory. However, I was surprised to find out that it was significantly oversubscribed, raising several million dollars more, with several European and American VCs competing to invest. This result astonished me. While the project is indeed good, it is not of an exceptional quality to justify such high demand.

Why are we in Asia "keeping silent" while the West is constantly "firing shots," daring to Pull the Trigger at this valuation?

We discussed internally and made some irresponsible guesses, such as

1. The timing of the establishment of Western VCs is somewhat different from that in Asia, so the exit cycles are different, leading to different investment decisions.

2. Asian VCs somewhat exhibit the characteristics of being "town mayors," focusing on either trying to outperform their peers in returns or at least outperforming BTC (although in the current market situation, I believe only a few can achieve this - - ). On the other hand, Western counterparts have a stronger idealistic and long-term perspective, or in other words, as long as they can logically explain to their LP why they invested in this project at this valuation, their dedication to returns becomes secondary.

3. Purely a Deploy Fund requirement, finishing this round quickly to quickly fundraise for the next round, with a focus on collecting management fees.

The specific reasons are unclear, so for now, all we can do is guess. Therefore, in the coming weeks, I've scheduled meetings with a group of Western VC Partners and Researchers. In addition to exchanging views on the market, I also want to directly ask them about the above question. After collecting information, I will update on Twitter.

Now, let's talk about the low-hanging fruit and take this opportunity to discuss with everyone where the future of Crypto is headed.

Firstly, whether it's me personally or ABCDE, our belief in the long-term bullishness of Crypto has never wavered. This can even be considered a form of "faith," otherwise, we would not be fully engaged in this profession.

However, in the medium term, we are indeed at a crossroads. I'm not sure if it's a similar crossroads to what we saw before the DeFi Summer of 2019, so let's discuss it with everyone.

The reason for this discussion was also due to a recent period of listening to the AlliaceDAO Podcast. Three points mentioned in it resonated with me

1. Qiao mentioned that he currently feels similar to 2019, not knowing what will happen next in Crypto until the emergence of DeFi Summer in 2020, which enlightened him and provided direction.

2. They believe that over the years, Crypto has only found one Product-Market Fit (PMF), which is finance, to be more specific, trading (Dex, Cex, Perp), lending, stablecoins, and Mint (asset issuance, e.g., Pumpfun).

3 is the advice they gave to many AI x Crypto Startups. If the project's Crypto element was too forced, it was better to remove Crypto altogether and focus on pure AI. As a result, 30% of the projects indeed removed Crypto and transformed into pure Web2 projects.

Regarding 1 - In 2019, although I was already in the circle, I was simply trading coins. Honestly, I'm not sure if VCs at that time had the same "bored" feeling as they do now. However, my impression is that at least IEOs were thriving, EOS was exploring its direction, Starkware introduced the ZK concept, and many projects from the 2020 DeFi Summer were likely founded and invested in during 2018-2019. Therefore, theoretically, the primary market experience should have been better back then. In other words, the belief in "the big one is coming" should have been higher than it is now.

Regarding 2 - This point echoes point 1 and is my biggest concern in the medium term, namely - have we reached a point where the low-hanging fruit has been mostly picked, unlike in 2019, at a crossroads?

If Crypto's biggest PMF in Utility is finance, then with the DeFi Summer and subsequent years of continuous iterative micro-innovations, we have essentially reached a boundary today.

Conversely, the opposite of Utility, which Crypto is also good at - narrative direction, is undoubtedly best represented by memes. Pump.FUN pushed this direction to its limit in 2024.

In the past few years, when both Utility and narrative were uncertain about what to do, our community could at least focus on Infrastructure. From ETH to EOS to Solana, and later Aptos, Sui... I'm thinking, with Solana having Firedancer this year and Monad and MegaETH likely to launch their mainnets, have we also reached a boundary in blockchain infrastructure scalability?

Regarding 3 - At a crossroads where all three paths have reached their limits, is the only option left the final path, namely "Blockchain Modularization"? This is related to the third point mentioned above, and I also heard a similar insight on YC's Podcast.

When it comes to modularization, it's not the type of modularization like Celestia, but rather abstracting blockchain technology as a whole into a module and integrating it as a functional component into a Startup, similar to AI.

Most of the crypto projects we see now are either born entirely based on crypto, or created for the sake of crypto, rather than to solve a real-world problem. The euphemistic term for this is Crypto Native, and the pejorative description is simply staying within the circle, self-indulging within the bubble.

The Web2 AI Venture Capital circle probably has a similar issue, where many projects seem to be "for the sake of AI itself," rather than aiming to solve a specific real-world problem.

Will there be a kind of convergence, or rather a meeting, between Web2 and Web3 in the future primary market? A project must exist to solve a real-world problem. In the process of solving the problem, it should incorporate crypto elements when needed, integrate AI elements when necessary, but the original intention and purpose have nothing to do with Crypto or AI. Just like how Meituan Takeaway utilizes 5G, platform software, big data, AI task allocation... but fundamentally, it is a project born to solve the problem of dining

If the next major stage of Crypto takes this form, will everyone feel bored? Can the current form of the Crypto-native industry chain composed of Crypto VCs, trading platforms, studios, and so on still continue?

With more and more primary market projects related to Payment and RWA, to some extent, they also align with this train of thought. Recently, I have been exploring Ondo's Global Market and discussing a few RWA projects. The next post will specifically discuss the new direction of the RWA track.

Original Article Link

You may also like

Token Cannot Compound, Where Is the Real Investment Opportunity?

The next chapter in the crypto industry will undoubtedly be written by Crypto-empowered Stocks.

February 6th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?

1. On-chain Flows: $508.2M USD inflow to Ethereum today; $390.8M USD outflow from Arbitrum 2. Biggest Gainers/Losers: $HBTC, $AIO 3. Top News: Current Bitcoin weekly RSI oversold signal comparable to June 2022

China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


Former Partner's Perspective on Multicoin: Kyle's Exit, But the Game He Left Behind Just Getting Started

Kyle knew his game, so he decided to focus on playing the game he was good at and interested in.

Why Bitcoin Is Falling Now: The Real Reasons Behind BTC's Crash & WEEX's Smart Profit Playbook

Bitcoin's ongoing crash explained: Discover the 5 hidden triggers behind BTC's plunge & how WEEX's Auto Earn and Trade to Earn strategies help traders profit from crypto market volatility.

Wall Street's Hottest Trades See Exodus

This time there is no single triggering factor, but rather market anxiety about asset valuation, with many already skeptical of these valuations being too high, leading to investors choosing to retreat almost simultaneously.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more