According to The Block, CryptoQuant's research director Julio Moreno stated that the accumulation of Bitcoin whales (wallets holding 1,000 to 10,000 Bitcoins, excluding exchanges and mining pools) and dolphins (wallets holding 100 to 1,000 Bitcoins, primarily dominated by ETFs and corporate treasury companies) has stagnated, with demand continuing to weaken. The year-on-year contraction rate of whale balances is the fastest this year, while the annual growth rate of dolphin balances, although still positive, has significantly slowed, and the monthly growth rates for both are approaching zero, indicating that the structural demand engine is in a state of ongoing slowdown.
Although the supply of long-term holders has reached a record 15,800,000 Bitcoins, this is not a bullish signal, as short-term demand is too weak to absorb the tokens of long-term holders. The supply of short-term holders has decreased from 6,400,000 Bitcoins in December 2025 to about 4,200,000 Bitcoins, of which approximately 900,000 Bitcoins came from Coinbase exchange reserves that have been passively converted to long-term holdings due to holding periods exceeding 155 days. Moreno reiterated that the current market conditions are similar to the bear market pattern of March 2022.
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