Has Crypto Investment Ended? Data Reflects the Reality of the Primary Market

By: blockbeats|2025/03/26 17:45:03
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Original Article Title: The State of Web3 Funding - Q1 2025
Original Article Author: Decentralised
Original Article Translation: zhouzhou, BlockBeats

Editor's Note: Over the past few years, early-stage Web3 funding has expanded, but funds have been concentrated in a few companies, leading to increased funding difficulty. After the FTX collapse, LP funds gathered in a few flagship funds, making it harder for startups to raise funds. Token liquidity has decreased, the investment return cycle has lengthened, and the market is more focused on profitability and PMF. Venture capital will not disappear, Web3 infrastructure has matured, and AI development has brought new opportunities. In the future, capital will favor founders with long-term competitiveness rather than short-term token gains. The key question is which founders and investors can persevere to the end and find the ultimate answer to industry evolution.

The following is the original content (slightly reorganized for better readability):

Web3 Funding Status in Q1 2025

A rational market participant might think that capital would fluctuate, much like many things in nature, with cyclicality. However, venture capital in the crypto space is more like a one-way waterfall—a continuous experiment on gravity.

We may be witnessing the final stage of a frenzy that began in 2017 with the smart contract and ICO boom, accelerated in the era of the pandemic and low-interest rates, and is now returning to a more stable level.

Has Crypto Investment Ended? Data Reflects the Reality of the Primary Market

At the peak in 2022, crypto venture funding reached $230 billion. By 2024, this number plummeted to $60 billion. The main reasons for this decline are threefold:

1. The 2022 frenzy led to excessive capital inflow—venture capital poured into many products in a seasonally overheated market at very high valuations, such as DeFi and NFTs, but ultimately failed to deliver the expected returns. OpenSea was once valued as high as $13 billion, becoming the peak of the market bubble.

2. Fundraising difficulties and vanishing valuation premiums—In 2023/2024, many funds faced obstacles in raising funds. Projects that successfully listed on exchanges also struggled to replicate the high valuation premiums of 2017-2022. Due to the lack of valuation uplift, funds found it hard to raise new capital, especially when many investors' returns were underperforming compared to Bitcoin.

3. AI Replaces Crypto as the "Next Big Thing" — Major capital is shifting its focus to AI, leaving behind the crypto industry's once speculative frenzy and premium as the "most promising cutting-edge technology."

However, the deeper issue lies in the fact that very few startups are able to grow to Series C or D. Some might argue that the crypto industry's primary exit strategy is token listing on exchanges, but when most tokens list and immediately plummet in value, investor exit becomes challenging. This is particularly evident when comparing data across funding rounds.

Since 2017, out of 7650 companies that received seed funding, only 1317 successfully moved to Series A, a graduation rate of 17%. Of those, 344 made it to Series B, with only about 1% (±1%) advancing to Series C. The probability of reaching Series D is only 1/200, on par with statistics from other industries as per @Crunchbase. However, the crypto industry has a unique situation: many growth-stage companies bypass traditional funding routes through tokenization. Yet, this reflects two core issues:

· Without a healthy token liquidity market, crypto venture capital will stagnate. This gap will be filled by liquidity market participants like @SplitCapital and @DeFianceCapital.

· If an insufficient number of companies grow to later stages and successfully go public, investor risk appetite will decrease.

Looking at data from various funding stages, the market is signaling the same message: while capital inflows at the seed and Series A stages remain relatively stable, active investments in Series B and C have significantly decreased. Does this mean the opportune time for seed funding is here? Not necessarily. The key still lies in the details.

The data below shows the median amount of funding for pre-seed and seed rounds each quarter. Overall, the trend is steadily rising. There are two notable points:

· Since early 2024, pre-seed round funding has seen a significant increase.

· The nature of seed round funding has shifted in recent years.

We observe that while the willingness of early-stage capital to invest has declined, the scale of funding for pre-seed and seed rounds for startups has actually increased. The previous "friends and family round" is now being filled by early-stage funds, a trend that also impacts seed funding. Since 2022, seed round funding has expanded to cope with the rising cost of labor and the longer time required for the crypto industry to achieve product-market fit (PMF). However, the decrease in product development costs has somewhat offset this trend.

The increase in funding amount implies a higher valuation (or equity dilution) for the company at an early stage, which also means that future higher valuation growth is needed to provide returns to investors. Additionally, in the months following Trump's election, there was a significant increase in funding size. This could be related to the change in the fundraising environment for General Partners (GPs) after Trump took office—the increased interest of Fund of Funds (FoF) and traditional allocators has put the early-stage market into a "risk appetite" mode.

What does this mean for founders? Currently, the funding amount for Web3 early-stage financing is higher than ever before, but the funds are concentrated on fewer founders, the funding size is larger, and at the same time, companies are required to grow at a faster rate than in previous cycles.

As traditional liquidity channels (such as token issuance) are drying up, founders need to put in more effort to demonstrate their credibility and the potential their business can bring. The era of "50% discount, new round of high valuation funding within two weeks" is over. Funds can no longer profit from "inflating valuations," and founders can no longer easily raise funds, and the ownership tokens held by employees no longer enjoy the dividend of rapid appreciation.

One perspective to validate this trend is the speed of capital flow. The chart below shows the average time startups experience from seed round to Series A. The lower the value, the faster the capital flow, meaning investors are willing to inject more capital into the company at a higher valuation before the enterprise matures to support new seed round companies.

Another key factor is how the liquidity in the public markets affects the private markets. Investors often increase their investments in the private market when there is a pullback in the public market. For example, during Q1 of 2018, there was a sharp market decline, and Series A funding significantly decreased. The same situation occurred again in Q1 2020—during the market crash triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. For investors with funds in hand, the attractiveness of investing in the private markets increases when opportunities in the public market decrease.

In Q4 of 2022, after the FTX collapse, the market's risk appetite decreased significantly. Unlike previous market downturns where private market funding increased, this collapse directly destroyed the attractiveness of the crypto industry as an asset class. Prior to this, several large funds had already invested substantial amounts in FTX's $32 billion valuation funding, but ultimately, all was lost. As a result, investor interest in the entire industry plummeted.


After the FTX collapse, funds began to concentrate in a few leading companies, which became "kingmakers" and dominated the market's capital flow. Most LP (Limited Partner) funds flowed into these top funds, which were more inclined to deploy funds in later-stage projects to absorb more capital. In other words, the financing environment for startups became more challenging.

The Future of Crypto Venture Capital?


Over the past six years, I have been observing this data, and the conclusion drawn each time has been the same — startup financing will become increasingly difficult. At 24, perhaps I did not realize that this is the evolution pattern of the industry. A market frenzy period attracts a large number of talents and funds, but as the industry matures, the difficulty of financing inevitably rises. In 2018, projects could raise funds as long as they were "on the blockchain"; by 2025, investors are more focused on profitability and Product-Market Fit (PMF).

As token liquidity decreases, venture capitalists have to reassess liquidity and capital deployment strategies. In the past, investors expected to receive returns through tokens within 18-24 months, but now this period has been extended. Employees also need to put in more effort to earn the same amount of tokens, which often have a lower trading valuation. This does not mean that the industry lacks profitable companies, but as in the traditional economy, ultimately only a few companies can capture most of the economic value.

Will venture capital die out? From a jokingly pessimistic perspective, maybe. But the reality is that Web3 still needs venture capital.

· The infrastructure layer has matured to support large-scale consumer-grade applications.

· Founders have experienced multiple market cycles and have a deeper understanding of how the industry operates.

· The Internet's coverage is expanding, and global bandwidth costs are decreasing.

· The development of AI is expanding the possibilities of Web3 applications.

These factors together form an unprecedented period of opportunity. If the venture capital industry wants to "make venture capital great again," they need to focus on the founders themselves rather than how much tokens they can issue. Today, capital allocators are more willing to spend time supporting founders with the potential to dominate the market. This change is the growth process of Web3 investors from "When will the token be issued?" in 2018 to "Where is the market's limit?" in 2025.

Original Article Link: Link to Original

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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