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Willy Woo Analyzes "Whether the Strategy Will Be Liquidated in a Bear Market": Stock Price Needs to Be Above $183.19 in September 2027
BlockBeats News, November 5th, Crypto analyst Willy Woo published an article analyzing whether "Strategy will be liquidated in the next bear market." He listed Strategy's debt maturity date, debt amount, MSTR stock price threshold (to prevent liquidation), and equivalent BTC price (assuming mNAV is 1). Strategy's debt is mainly composed of convertible senior notes, which can be repaid at maturity in cash, common stock, or a combination of both. Strategy has approximately $10.1 billion in debt maturing on September 15, 2027. To avoid the need to sell Bitcoin to repay the debt, the stock price of Strategy at that time must be above $183.19, roughly equivalent to a Bitcoin price of around $91,502.
Willy Woo added that in the assumed 2028 halving bull market, if BTC does not rise sufficiently, there may be some liquidation risks, but the likelihood of liquidation in a bear market is low unless there is an extreme and sustained downturn.
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