XRP Price Prediction: Coinbase USD–XRP Volume Surges 365% in Early 2026 – Can ETFs Propel XRP Back to $3?

By: crypto insight|2026/01/04 21:30:06
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Key Takeaways

  • XRP’s trading volume on Coinbase has dramatically increased by 365.51% in early 2026, signaling renewed investor interest and potential bullish trends.
  • The recent surge in volume is attributed to new capital inflow via ETFs rather than mere stablecoin swaps, marking a positive market sentiment.
  • Analysts observe historical patterns indicating a possible major rally ahead, with XRP approaching significant resistance levels.
  • The price of XRP is close to surpassing the $2.00 psychological threshold, with predictions aiming for highs above $4.00.
  • The XRP market shows long-term bullish momentum driven by structural shifts and increased demand, with Maxi Doge presale gaining attention amid potential XRP rises.

WEEX Crypto News, 2026-01-04 13:20:45

In the whirlwind landscape of cryptocurrency, the start of 2026 has brought a staggering shift for XRP, the digital token of the Ripple network. As Coinbase reports a phenomenal 365.51% increase in direct USD to XRP trading volume, the burgeoning market buzz asks: Can XRP soar once again to its lofty $3 heights? This influx of trading volume represents not just internal crypto swaps but a surge of fresh capital, reflecting a burgeoning interest fueled by ETFs. Analysts are brimming with predictions, sketches of momentum, and echoes of historical rallies that paint a vivid picture of XRP’s future potential.

Unveiling the Surge: 2026’s Early XRP Market Dynamics

The year 2026 opened with a robust spike in XRP’s direct USD trading volume on Coinbase, drawing attention across the crypto sphere. This dramatic increase is primarily driven by new cash investments through exchange-traded funds (ETFs), rather than the mere shuffling of existing stablecoins. This distinction is vital as it highlights genuine market interest and fresh investor confidence. Market observers have noted that within the first 90 minutes of the new year alone, XRP ETFs soared past $7 million, spearheaded by Bitwise’s proactive trading strategy which saw its figures rise by 5% post the U.S. market opening. This influx of capital beyond existing crypto circulations indicates an awakening in the Ripple ecosystem, as investors align with the ETF as a strategic vehicle to participate in XRP’s potential ascent.

Diving deeper, we see XRP’s price reflecting this volume surge with a notable climb of 5.89% in just a day, escalating its spot volume to exceed $2.73 billion—a stark 60% rise from the previous trading session. Hovering near the psychological $2.00 mark, XRP is teetering on the brink of surpassing its 21-month Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This technical indicator, historically significant, last marked such a position in December 2017. Back then, it heralded a monumental rally peaking in January 2018—a historical echo analysts are keenly watching as they forecast a potential repeat.

Historical Patterns and Future Projections: The Road to $3 and Beyond

XRP’s price movements are once again echoing patterns reminiscent of its past bullish expansions. Reflecting on cycles past, especially those ripple-like waves of late 2017 and early 2018, XRP’s current movements are indicative of a transition from a period of accumulation to a thrust of bullish expansion. Over the years, XRP stabilized below prior resistance zones but eventually surged higher between 2024 and 2025, consolidating gains in the $1.20-$1.45 range that had once stifled growth. This foundational breakout was not merely symbolic but marked a tangible shift in market architecture, inviting momentum towards the crucial $2.00 band, now a vital puzzle piece for near-term prospects.

The market’s current pullback, arising post recent highs, appears corrective—a pause rather than an endpoint of the trend. Holding ground above the previous breakout area around $1.45-$1.50 provides a sturdy support base, enabling XRP to potentially establish a new higher low. This foundation underpins a narrative of resilience and continued optimism, steering eyes towards the $2.32 level—a critical bullish confirmation zone. Reclaiming this threshold could propel XRP trajectory towards the $3.00-$3.10 corridor, aligning seamlessly with analysts’ projected 2026 targets, intertwining past peaks from January 2018 around $3.31.

Momentum indicators, particularly the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are backing this bullish outlook. Following an easing from overbought ranges, RSI readings remain elevated, a nod to underlying market strength. This resetting of momentum is a cleansing cycle that readies XRP for its next potential upswing, provided buyers reignite their interest at current support scaffolds.

The Ripple Effect: Extrinsic Factors and Enthusiast Projects

If XRP manages to ascend once more past the $3.00 threshold, a ripple effect might stimulate related sectors within the crypto ecosystem, with presale ventures like Maxi Doge (MAXI) poised to capture this wave. Drawing inspiration from Dogecoin’s meteoric journey, Maxi Doge leverages its nascent stage to engage traders with promising high-return potential. The presale, having already amassed over $4.3 million, entices participants with appealing offers like 70% annual staking rewards, coupled with a robust support framework for crypto insiders seeking to disseminate tips and trade strategies.

Maxi Doge has ingeniously established an alpha channel, functioning as a nexus for the exchange of trader insights and ideas, mirroring the community-driven ethos that catapulted Dogecoin into the limelight during the 2023-2024 boom. Amid XRP’s rally prospects, Maxi Doge presents an intriguing divergence, catering to investors with an appetite for potential explosive growth inherent in early-stage tokens.

Exploring the Road Ahead: A Pivotal Crossroad for XRP

XRP’s journey traverses a convoluted path defined by both strategic doctrine and spontaneous, organic market shifts. As analysts draw diagrams plotting possible trajectories, market participants keenly observe these developments unfold. The $2.00 mark remains a pivotal psychological battlefield, where XRP’s ability to pivot may redirect its fate towards untouched altitudes.

Underlying this journey is a confluence of technical affirmation, historical parallels, and evolving market dynamics, each playing their role in orchestrating XRP’s next act. Analysts and investors alike merge insights and speculations, drawing on empirical patterns while navigating present-day market realities.

Amidst these contemplations, platforms like Bitwise exemplify strategic thought leadership—emphasizing the relevant role of institutional-grade products like ETFs in sculpting the overall market landscape. As new capital enters through these structured avenues, it acknowledges the symbiotic relationship between financial innovation and traditional investor participation—a dynamic recalibration that frames the future of crypto assets like XRP.

Lastly, the ripple effects stemming from such institutional participation encapsulate the broader narrative of how crypto, once an outsider to mainstream finance, increasingly intertwines with conventional investment frameworks. As we navigate through the early winds of 2026, XRP’s burgeoning narrative continues to be written, each chapter inviting both seasoned investors and new entrants to ponder its potential climb towards new horizons.

Conclusion: Anticipating XRP’s Future

In summary, XRP’s sudden volume surge on Coinbase hints at potential bullish momentum for the near future. Historical rallies, bullish technical indicators, and a supportive market environment underscore a promising outlook for XRP in 2026. The recent spike in ETF-driven activity highlights a strategic shift in investor sentiment, aligning with both historical precedents and future forecasts. As investors and analysts observe these unique alignments, XRP’s capability to touch past highs remains a compelling narrative with each new day of trading.

FAQ

What factors have contributed to the recent surge of XRP volume on Coinbase?

The recent surge in XRP volume on Coinbase has been primarily driven by a significant influx of new capital through ETFs rather than just transactions involving stablecoins. This indicates renewed interest from investors seeking direct exposure to XRP, likely due to the strategic advantages and appeal present in ETF investments.

Why is the $2.00 mark significant for XRP?

The $2.00 mark holds psychological importance as a key resistance level for XRP. Breaking above this mark not only propels XRP into a new price territory but also reaffirms positive market sentiment, drawing parallels to past bullish market patterns observed in late 2017 and early 2018.

What role do ETFs play in XRP’s recent market activity?

ETFs play a crucial role as they provide structured investment vehicles through which new capital is funneled into XRP, representing a shift towards more institutional and mainstream investment approaches. This also broadens the investor base and enhances market liquidity and stability for XRP.

How is Maxi Doge related to the current XRP market scenario?

Maxi Doge is positioned to benefit from XRP’s market movements, especially if XRP’s price surges past $3.00. As XRP’s momentum gains traction, investor interest often spills over into promising early-stage projects like Maxi Doge, which also offers high return potential through strategic presales and community-building activities.

What are some potential risks and rewards of investing in XRP now?

Potential rewards of investing in XRP include catching a potential bull run that surpasses previous highs, spurred by favorable market dynamics and increased interest from institutional investors. However, risks persist, including market volatility, regulatory changes, and broader crypto market shifts that could impact XRP’s price trajectory. As always, thorough research and careful risk assessment are advised.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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