Yield Farming at 86% APY? How to Use Bots to “Earn While You Sleep” on Polymarket

By: crypto insight|2025/12/30 15:30:10
0
Share
copy

Key Takeaways

  • Polymarket presents untapped opportunities for bot utilization, despite existing competition.
  • A proprietary trading bot streamlines the BTC 15-minute UP/DOWN market operations using an automated strategy.
  • The automatic mode of the bot operates in a two-leg loop, leveraging rapid market drops for strategic purchases and hedges.
  • Successful bot trading requires real-time monitoring and backtesting to adapt strategies based on market conditions.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-30 07:11:37

In the rapidly evolving world of cryptocurrencies and digital finance, the concept of “yield farming” has emerged as a lucrative venture for many investors. One such opportunity can be found on Polymarket, a platform known for harnessing prediction markets for trading. However, tapping into this potential requires precision, strategy, and sometimes, the savvy use of technology. This article delves into the intricacies of building a trading bot for Polymarket, aiming to exploit an 86% Annual Percentage Yield (APY) through methodical and automated processes.

The Emergence of Polymarket Bots

In recent weeks, the quest to develop a Polymarket bot turned into an ambitious project that spanned several weeks. The motivation behind this endeavor was driven by an observable efficiency gap within Polymarket. This gap indicates that while some bots already exist and are extracting value, they barely scratch the surface of what’s possible. The balance between available opportunities and the number of bots is decidedly skewed towards those opportunities.

Understanding this context, the bot’s creation was not merely about participating in the market but dominating it through a systematic advantage. The core logic driving the bot emerged from strategies previously executed manually, designed to enhance efficiency, reduce latency, and ultimately lead to greater investment returns.

Bot Building Logic and Fundamentals

The bot is anchored in the “BTC 15-minute UP/DOWN” market. This specific trading ground allows for frequent opportunities to capitalize on short-term price movements. The bot utilizes a real-time monitoring system that aligns with the current BTC 15-minute round. This synchronization allows the bot to optimize the best bid/ask through a WebSocket, presenting a cohesive user interface that facilitates comprehensive control via text commands.

Manual vs. Automatic Mode

In manual mode, traders can employ the bot directly to place orders. Commands like buy up or buy down enable purchase in specified USD amounts, while buyshares up or buyshares down allows the acquisition of fixed shares utilizing a LIMIT + GTC (Good ‘Til Canceled) order at the prevailing best ask price.

The real game-changer, however, is the bot’s automatic mode, which executes a recurring two-leg loop. The initial leg—referred to as “Leg 1″—observes price movements within a pre-set time frame, defined as windowMin minutes. Should the price drop sharply, meeting the threshold of movePct (i.e., 15% within approximately three seconds), the bot executes a purchase of the dropping side.

The execution of Leg 1 prohibits any further purchases of the same side, shifting focus to the subsequent phase, “Second Leg” (Leg 2), or the hedge. This leg activates only after fulfilling specific conditions: primarily, when the leg1EntryPrice plus the oppositeAsk meet a sum of 0.95, facilitating a secure hedge.

Parameters and Metrics

  • Shares: Defines the position size for the dual-stage trade, ensuring optimal allocation of resources.
  • Sum: Acts as the threshold for sanctioned hedging activity.
  • Move: The critical flash crash threshold, represented proportionally (e.g., 0.15 for 15%).
  • WindowMin: Establishes the timeline from the onset of each round for Leg 1’s activation, generally over a span of two minutes.

Backtesting and Strategy Validation

The cornerstone of any automated trading system lies in the robustness of its logic, which must be continuously validated through backtesting. The principles of the bot were straightforward: detect violent flash crashes, purchase the declining side, and then, post-stabilization, hedge by acquiring the opposite side. This methodology demands that the sum of price movements in both directions, priceUP and priceDOWN, aligns with the predetermined thresholds to maintain profitability.

Pioneering New Grounds

Despite the complexity of building a reliable trading bot, the potential returns pivoting around an 86% APY can entice even the most cautious investors. Polymarket, as a platform, offers a unique environment where prediction markets create a plethora of engagement opportunities—yet, the landscape remains largely underpopulated by efficient bots. This imbalance gifts enterprising innovators the chance to stake their claim before the market reaches saturation.

Challenges and Considerations

While the prospects are alluring, the journey to successful bot-driven yield farming is not without challenges. The volatility inherent in cryptocurrency trading requires adaptability and precision. Furthermore, bots must continuously evolve, integrating new data and adjusting algorithms to reflect the latest market conditions. Failure to innovate could lead to diminished returns or operational inefficiencies.

The Role of Technology

In today’s digital age, technology acts as both a foundation and a catalyst for market operations. The development and deployment of a Polymarket bot illustrate how automated systems can unlock new financial landscapes. Real-time monitoring, algorithmic decision-making, and automated executions form the triumvirate that governs modern trading arsenals. Leveraging such technology transforms theoretical strategies into executable market maneuvers, turning aspirations of passive income into attainable realities.

As technology continues to progress, so too does the scope of what can be achieved on platforms like Polymarket. With the right approach, bots can become reliable allies in navigating these complex waters, offering an unprecedented degree of scalability and efficiency that manual trading simply cannot rival.

Conclusion: The Future of Polymarket Yield Farming

Innovating within prediction markets like Polymarket with bespoke trading bots exemplifies a significant shift towards leveraging technology for optimal investment returns. The 86% APY touted by such automated systems is not merely a dream but a tangible goal achievable through diligent design, careful execution, and continuous refinement.

FAQs

What is Polymarket?

Polymarket is a decentralized information market platform where users can trade outcomes on future events, allowing for speculation on various topics in a prediction-market framework.

How do Polymarket bots work?

These bots are built to automate trading strategies on the Polymarket platform, leveraging algorithmic analysis to place trades based on market conditions. They offer the ability to hedge bets efficiently by reacting swiftly to price movements.

Why are bots advantageous in yield farming on Polymarket?

Bots offer precision and speed, essential for capturing short-lived trading opportunities on prediction markets. Their ability to continuously function without human intervention can lead to maximized yield farming returns through strategic trading.

What is the role of backtesting in bot development?

Backtesting involves testing trading strategies against historical data to ensure their effectiveness and reliability. For bot development, it validates the logic and helps in refining strategies to improve profitability under various market conditions.

How does the bot determine when to execute trades?

The bot employs a dual-leg strategy, focusing initially on significant price drops for the first leg and setting conditions for the second leg, which involves hedging. These executions are triggered by predefined parameters such as percentage drops and time windows.

You may also like

From 0 to $1 Million: Five Steps to Outperform the Market Through Wallet Tracking

If you can grasp the system and see transactions as a byproduct of building a better life, then your chances of success will be much greater.

Token Cannot Compound, Where Is the Real Investment Opportunity?

The next chapter in the crypto industry will undoubtedly be written by Crypto-empowered Stocks.

February 6th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?

1. On-chain Flows: $508.2M USD inflow to Ethereum today; $390.8M USD outflow from Arbitrum 2. Biggest Gainers/Losers: $HBTC, $AIO 3. Top News: Current Bitcoin weekly RSI oversold signal comparable to June 2022

China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


Former Partner's Perspective on Multicoin: Kyle's Exit, But the Game He Left Behind Just Getting Started

Kyle knew his game, so he decided to focus on playing the game he was good at and interested in.

Why Bitcoin Is Falling Now: The Real Reasons Behind BTC's Crash & WEEX's Smart Profit Playbook

Bitcoin's ongoing crash explained: Discover the 5 hidden triggers behind BTC's plunge & how WEEX's Auto Earn and Trade to Earn strategies help traders profit from crypto market volatility.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more